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[闲聊] 做美股的同学尚好? DOW这个样子比较悬, 真搞出个系统风险来,要审慎拉![ 周五DOW和原油图 ] |
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| 所跟贴 |
21日贴个19日的消息?20日又涨回去了,不算数的哦? -- 暗八仙 - (535 Byte) 2008-6-22 周日, 01:35 (452 reads) |
theoretical [博客] [个人文集]


头衔: 海归上校 声望: 院士 性别:  加入时间: 2006/10/13 文章: 5521
海归分: 69567
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作者:theoretical 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
oil, you can get some on Monday for short term trading. As you said before, main street talk, wall street trade. Just eighteen months ago oil was at $50/bbl. Now it is nearly three times that price. Have fundamentals changed so radically during that time? Of course not. The same kind of irrationally is at work in the oil market as we currently have in the housing bubble, and as we had in stocks in 2000. The expansion in the number of oil mutual funds and ETFs has also placed a lot of demand for oil futures contracts. Current high oil prices cannot and will not be sustained. Bubbles eventually burst. Now, they are talking about US drilling ban, I believe that, if congress lifts the drilling ban, oil prices will drop by about 50% within a few months. Now, did you see the dot connection: Bush, high oil price, oil company, election, drilling ban, Bush out of white house and into oil house with the right to explore US domestic oil. A mini commonity crash will push stocks way up, then it will back to earth and commonity will fly again. At least, that is my wish! 
作者:theoretical 在 海归商务 发贴, 来自【海归网】 http://www.haiguinet.com
上一次由theoretical于2008-6-22 周日, 02:33修改,总共修改了3次
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